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2028 Election
Joshua
Manifold Politics
Premium
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
29%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
23%
JD Vance (Vice President)
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
Yes
No
Open options
See 18 more answers
155
Ṁ22k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
25%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
20%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
Open options
See 36 more answers
581
Ṁ150k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
27%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
25%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
See 57 more answers
446
Ṁ20k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
18%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
14%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
10%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
8%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
See 77 more answers
1390
Ṁ29k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
44%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
16%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
9%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Donald Trump, Sr
Yes
No
Open options
See 33 more answers
535
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Democratic nominee?
42%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
14%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
10%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
8%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
105
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Republican nominee?
44%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
29%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Donald Trump Sr.
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Marco Rubio
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
254
Ṁ40k
skibidist
Basic
2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?
14%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
53
Ṁ273
Scott Alexander
Plus
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
63%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2267
Ṁ5540
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