OpenAI

➕
Plus
When will OpenAI release o3-mini to ChatGPT Plus subscribers?
Resolved
YES
Before February 2025
Resolved
YES
Before March 2025
Resolved
YES
Before April 2025
Resolved
YES
Before June 2025
➕
Plus
When will OpenAI's o3 model release to ChatGPT Pro users?
Resolved
NO
before February 2025
Resolved
NO
before April 2025
Resolved
YES
before June 2025
Resolved
YES
before August 2025
See 4 more answers
➕
Plus
By when will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?
3%
Before June 2025
25%
Before July 2025
46%
Before August 2025
59%
Before September 2025
See 16 more answers
➕
Plus
Will anyone manage to get OpenAI Sora to generate explicitly pornographic videos in the three months after release?NO
💎
Premium
AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]2,031
💎
Premium
Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?30% chance
➕
Plus
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
24%
It will be the SOTA for text to video
36%
It can generate videos over 10 minutes long
71%
A second major version of the model has been released
11%
A third major version of the model has been released
See 43 more answers
💎
Premium
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?27% chance
💎
Premium
Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?9% chance
See more questions:
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules