CEO Shooter

Sweepcash Market

Basic

Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2026?35%

Premium

What were the motives of the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin?

86%

A set of radical beliefs that do not fit on a strict left/right paradigm

79%

Wrongful delay or deny insurance claims

60%

An attempt to terrorize people into bringing down the system of private insurance in the United States

49%

Chronic Back Pain

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Luigi Mangione manifesto prop bets (add answers)

Resolved

YES

Whole Manifesto released in December

Resolved

YES

UnitedHealthcare mentioned by name (incl abbreviations)

Resolved

YES

Mentions “The Feds”

Resolved

YES

Mentions mafia or derivative (e.g. mob, mafioso)

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Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by the end of 2025?40% chance

Sweepcash Market

Basic

Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?57%

Basic

Will there be evidence showing the UnitedHealthcare shooter had a Manifold account by end of March 2025?YES

Plus

Will the United Healthcare CEO shooter be caught by June 2025?YES

Plus

Are these two supposed pictures of the United Healthcare CEO assassin actually different people?NO

Plus

Luigi Mangione UnitedHealthcare Shooter likes the following stereotypical things:

69%

Neon Genesis Evangelion

52%

Richard Stallman

50%

Attack on titan

47%

Breaking Points

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What will happen to the @LuigiMangione Manifold account before March? [Add Answers!]

Resolved

YES

Gets Managrammed at least 10,000 mana in total (for example, 2,000 each from 5 people would work)

Resolved

NO

Banned

Resolved

NO

Becomes a Moderator

Resolved

NO

Places a Mana bet (after this market is created)

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