⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2025? (4 DONE)

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2026

97%

Manifest 2025 happens

96%

English Wikipedia reaches 7M articles or more

87%

Trump fires / discharges / replaces a member of his cabinet

85%

Mr Beast reaches 400M subscribers on youtube

72%

ukraine and russia announce a ceasefire

71%

Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world

69%

Joseph Anderson releases long awaited Witcher 3 video

66%

Release date of Hollow Knight Silksong known

61%

Coyote vs Acme release date is announced

61%

Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape

57%

Verdict in P Diddy Sean Combs trial is reached

53%

Manifold reaches 2000 engaged users

52%

100th spacex launch of the year

50%

Skate 4 releases

50%

Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases

50%

Manifold announces they have raised more money through grant/investors/etc

50%

StubHub IPO finalized

41%

Chat GPT 5 releases

39%

Lego releases a record breaking set with the most pieces (bigger than Lego Art World Map)

38%

Taylor Swift announces engagement or marriage

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

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bought Ṁ25 YES

@strutheo according to this article it’s coming out 2027-06-04 https://www.marvel.com/articles/movies/spider-man-brand-new-day-title-spider-man-beyond-the-spider-verse-unveiled-first-look-cinemacon-2025

bought Ṁ150 YES

@strutheo
The iPhone 16e, Apple's new entry-level iPhone, was announced on February 19, 2025, with pre-orders starting on February 21st and general availability beginning on February 28th, 2025

bought Ṁ472 YES

@strutheo
Imports from China already face taxes at the border of at least 10%, after a Trump tariff order that went into effect earlier this month.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ce8yy3wpn6eo

bought Ṁ682 YES

@strutheo https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20250125-in-pictures-first-deportation-flights-of-trump-s-presidency-arrive-in-latin-america

reposted

made one for next year!

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