https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_2025
Project 2025 (officially the Presidential Transition Project) is a collection of policy proposals to reshape the executive branch of the U.S. federal government at an unprecedented scale in the event of a Republican victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
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The plan proposes slashing U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) funding, dismantling the FBI and the Department of Homeland Security, gutting environmental and climate change regulations to favor fossil fuel production, and eliminating the cabinet Departments of Education and Commerce.
If an option gets achieved before that by a Republican government in 2025, it resolves YES.
Otherwise, resolves NO at the end of 2025.
"Gutting" is operationalized as reducing 30%+ of the budget OR staff count.
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3.00Does “allow criminal prosecutions […] abortion pills” mean at the federal level, or do state laws count?
Their agenda / manifesto seemed general about it, so I think they intend it to be federal? If so, it’s meant to be federal. I’ll close the question to allow for a bit of discussion about it if anyone disagrees that that’s their intent
but in general, the intent of the market is to see which of their plans succeeds, so the resolution criteria seek to be roughly in line with what their plans actually are
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00