What will OpenAI announce during their “12 Days of OpenAI”?
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Plus
190
Ṁ59k
Jan 1
88%
GPT-4o image generation released
87%
Agent model (can perform virtual tasks) revealed
85%
Successor to GPT-4o revealed
82%
Something as significant as the Sora announcement (as per a poll)
78%
A model with name containing ‘GPT-4.5’ or ‘GPT-5’ is revealed.
73%
Something as significant as the September o1 announcement (as per a poll)
58%
PC or mac voice input mode (it augments keyboard input with data from AI/LLM) on laptop or desktop
56%
new model costing under $1/mtoken
54%
Successor to DALLE-3 revealed
48%
Something that Gary Marcus reacts positively to (sentiment analyzed by ChatGPT)
43%
Large Geometry Model
41%
Web search via API
37%
o1 and/or o1-mini fine-tuning
32%
Improvementz to their beta Evaluations feature
28%
New music generation model is revealed
27%
Reveal a model with 1,000,000+ context length
25%
New major evaluation announced
20%
Cursor/Copilot style IDE tool for pair programming
20%
Whisper 4
16%
An interpretability-based paper or product

OpenAI has just announced the “12 Days of OpenAI”, a series of 12 livestreams with new announcements. What will they announce during this?

https://x.com/openai/status/1864328928267259941?s=46

Notes:

“Released” = available to some random members of the public, or an announcement that it will be available before December 31

“Revealed” = the thing is shown to exist, but not necessarily available to the public

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):

  • For "Sora 2" announcements to count, they must show better quality than the original version revealed in early 2024, not just faster processing

  • The new version can keep the name 'Sora' but must be clearly distinguished as a different version from the original

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Maybe 3D mesh generation?

like a Large Geometry Model

Which can maybe be used to generate graph structured data (not just meshes)

bought Ṁ100 YES

@JaundicedBaboon lets go midtraining

@plastic technically they've already announced that, does this mean generally available?

@warty my interpretation of the criteria is that options are for things released or revealed on "12 Days of OpenAI". In this case, since it has already been announced, I would expect a reveal. Maybe should have specified it in the name, sorry

@plastic Sorry, I meant: "my interpretation of the criteria is that options are for things released or revealed on "12 Days of OpenAI". In this case, since it has already been announced, I would expect a reveal. Maybe should have specified it in the name, sorry"

@plastic damn, cant type. RELEASE, not reveal

@dominic please resolve "Code sandbox for Canvas with code execution" and "A paid feature becomes free" positively given today's OpenAI announcements

bought Ṁ100 YES

Lee Byron and Alexi Christakis are both involved in Canvas

bought Ṁ10 YES

@dominic Will it count if they reveal a version that's faster but doesn't create significantly better-quality video? Does it have to have a different name than just "Sora"?

@CDBiddulph Has to be better quality, not just faster. It could just be called Sora, but they have to be clear that it is a different version than was originally revealed at the start of the year.

I love this market & it's why manifold is so relevant. Super fast market creation and exploration in comparison to other places

What the hell does log in with OpenAI mean

@Ebcc1 there is on some websites "Log in with Google" etc, it could also be with OpenAI.

@Ebcc1 mostly I hear this refer to a mechanism where you can sign into a website that uses the openai api on your behalf without literally giving them your key (which is intrinsically a security issue)

@AaronKaufman that makes sense

@UnspecifiedPerson Just to clarify, this is “OpenAI says they meet their contractual requirements for AGI” and not “the industry widely believes this claim,” right?

@KimberlyWilberLIgt Whether the industry believes it is not relevant, what matters is whether they announce that AGI has been achieved.

bought Ṁ30 YES

12 days of releases/announcements is soooooo much

bought Ṁ50 YES

@dominic How do you intend to resolve this? What makes a model 4o's "successor"?

@SaviorofPlant Better than 4o, different than 4o (eg not 4o-12-06 or 4o-Turbo), and not a different type of model (like o1). There are some weird edge cases that could happen, but it’s hard to enumerate all of those beforehand so it will have to be somewhat of a judgment call.

me buying sora releases is not related to the article fwiw

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