Who will run for President of the United States in 2028?
Basic
22
Ṁ10092028
92%
JD Vance
90%
Gavin Newsom
80%
JB Pritzker
78%
Pete Buttigieg
73%
Josh Shapiro
60%
Ron DeSantis
57%
Tulsi Gabbard
54%
Gretchen Whitmer
38%
Tim Walz
32%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
24%
Kamala Harris
22%
Stephen A. Smith
10%
Mark Cuban
9%
Mark Milley
8%
Al Gore
2%
Barack Obama
Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy. (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)
All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed. Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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