Resolves to whoever comes second at the 2028 presidential election, based on the number of Electoral College votes.
Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be. I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later.
Resolves N/A in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held. If the election is postponed, then this market resolves to whoever comes second at the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to N/A. Also resolves N/A if the 2028 elections only have 1 candidate.
1,000
3.00@HarrisonNathan I'll compare the final percentages as noted in the previous year's US election wikipedia pages, (I assume those are post-electoral college, but I'm not too familiar with the US election system).
Edit: this is no longer the case. See followup comments or the description for accurate resolution criteria.
@NoyaV The popular vote in the US has no legal relevance. The US President is chosen according to the votes of 538 electors. It's possible to win the election while losing the popular vote, and this has happened in two of the last six elections, which makes it confusing to interpret what it means to "come in second" in such a circumstance. I think you should resolve according to the electoral college vote itself.
@HarrisonNathan Makes sense. I'll resolve according to the electoral votes value then, I'll update the description.