Trump approval rating 45.0% or higher on March 20th?
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Market will resolve to YES if 45.0% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated March 20th, 2025 (or next available data point after Mar 20th) on 538's approval tracker located here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/
To account for lagging results as polling is not instantaneously released, the data will be checked three days later on March 23rd, 2025.
In the event that the 538 tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
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