If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
Plus
60
Ṁ61572026
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Looks like he was actually slightly above 40% for most of his first term https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025?
78% chance
Will Trump ever have a net positive approval rating? (Read Description)
45% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
21% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
33% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
25% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
35% chance
Will Donald Trump EVER have a net positive job approval rating?
87% chance
Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?
60% chance
Will Trump’s approval rating be higher than Biden’s after:
Donald Trump's favorability rating 50% or higher on Jan 20th?
23% chance