If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
➕
Plus
28
Ṁ1527
2026
33%
chance

If he does not win or does not serve a full year in office for any reason, resolves N/A. Resolution source: 538 Job Approval average

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Ṁ1,000
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bought Ṁ150 YES

Based upon what poll?

@JeffBerman Thanks for the question. I will be using the 538 job approval rating average for Jan 20th, 2026.

@Balasar Thank you

Having trouble resolving this N/A. @mods

@Balasar Are you confusing this with another market? Trump did win, so no need to N/A

@Agh My apologies, I got this confused with my Harris market of the same form.

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