Will China invent a domestic version of ASML’s EUV lithographic machine tool by January 1, 2030?
Plus
4
Ṁ250Jul 19
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China announce development of its own extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine in 2024?
18% chance
Will China have a domestic EUV maker by 2030?
48% chance
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2026?
77% chance
Will China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2027?
72% chance
Will China recreate GPT-4o by EOY 2024?
20% chance
Will ASML be a monopoly in EUV lithography systems by the end of 2024?
96% chance
Will China have a commercial, domestically-built EUV machine by the end of 2027?
10% chance
Will a Chinese company make and release a semiconductor equal to or less than 5nm by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will a Chinese company introduce a smartphone using a domestically made chip below 7nm in 2024?
3% chance