Will a deepmind model be the first to succeed at the IMO Grand Challenge or the XTS AI-MO competition?
Basic
6
Ṁ1262040
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves YES if the IMO grand challenge is completed first by a Deepmind team / model or wins the XTS AI-MO competition.
This market conditions on either of these being fulfilled by some team by 2040, if they are not this will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
45% chance
Will OpenAI be the first to succeed at the IMO Grand Challenge or the XTS AI-MO competition?
52% chance
Will an AI model surpasses o3's matharena.ai 88% Overall score by July 1, 2025?
50% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
15% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
11% chance
Will there be 2 or more combinatorics problems on IMO 2025 x Will AI get a gold medal on IMO 2025?
Will an AI which achieves IMO gold medal before 2026 use MCTS during test-time?
75% chance
An AI model published prior to the 2025 IMO achieves gold medal performance
18% chance
What company or institution will win the XTX AIMO Prize?
Will the AIMO (Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad) Grand Prize be won before 2026?
45% chance