Trump changes new tariffs in the next week?
Trump changes new tariffs in the next week?
265
Ṁ24k
resolved Apr 7
Resolved
YES

This market resolves YES if President Trump officially announces any extension, adjustment, or modification to the recently implemented tariffs before April 10, 2025. This includes changes to tariff rates, affected products, exempted countries, or implementation timelines.

The announcement must come from an official White House source or be widely reported by major news outlets.

References:

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ766
2Ṁ545
3Ṁ466
4Ṁ359
5Ṁ243


Sort by:
filled aṀ100YES at 85% order
reposted5d
5d

What changed about the implementated tariffs?

5d

@preferNotToSay the White House lowered tariffs on two French overseas territories. Two major French outlets covered the changes.

5d

Bless up

6d

@adssx it sounds like this might be lowering tariffs that are currently planned but not yet implemented?

6d

@carterallen Yes but the market closes "before April 10" and the tariffs will be implemented on April 9. So if we use the definition of "implemented" in means changed during the day? If we use planned/announced it means any difference between the original announcement and the actual implementation?

5d

@adssx It would count if we could find an official White House source or wide reporting in major news outlets. I haven't been able to find either so far, but if we do then it would count.

5d

@adssx You've convinced me. Thanks for your help on this!

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules