Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year?
Plus
39
Ṁ22kDec 31
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trump has claimed he will impose a 60% tariff on China.
This market will resolve to YES if Trump wins the presidency, and then he imposes a 60% tariff (or greater) on at least most imports to the US from China before the end of 2025.
If Trump imposes a tariff in excess of 60%, that does count as a YES.
If Trump imposes a tariff less than 60%, that does not count.
If Trump does not win the presidency, the market resolves to NO, even if the winner imposes a tariff.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
That is extremely remarkable news, the tax increase is too strong @Geometry Dash can also affect people's lives.
Why stop at 60%?
He has also said “100, 200, 2000% tariffs”
Related questions
Related questions
Trump impose large tariffs in first year?
87% chance
Trump to impose 10% tariff on all countries in first year?
76% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will he enact a 10% tariff on most imported goods?
67% chance
Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?
Tariff on Chinese goods is 100% or higher?
6% chance
Average tariffs under Trump
When will Trump impose tariffs on Panama?
Will the US impose a 10% tariff on goods from the EU before 2026?
90% chance
Will Trump golf for at least 25% of his first 100 days?
75% chance
What will be the effective US tariff rate for Chinese imports in the second half of 2025?