Will Eli Weinstein, previously pardoned by Trump, go to prison for fraud again by 2026?
Will Eli Weinstein, previously pardoned by Trump, go to prison for fraud again by 2026?
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He was previously convicted of fraud and imprisoned, was pardoned by Trump, and has now been changed with fraud again: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-66261070
Resolves YES if Weinstein is convicted (or pleads guilty), is sentenced to a prison term, and is in prison before 2026. Resolves NO if 2026 arrives and he has not yet served any prison time.
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He's been convicted again: https://archive.is/k9LRq
Sentencing is scheduled for Sep 17.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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