Outcome of next Canadian federal election
31
Ṁ11k2026
25%
Liberal majority
39%
Liberal minority
22%
Conservative minority
15%
Conservative majority
0.2%
Other
In the unlikely event that there is any coalition government, I'll resolve this as Other.
This would not include a supply and confidence agreement.
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https://manifold.markets/dittopoop/will-the-conservative-party-of-cana
Im an LPC believer too but im SO CONFUSED why this market is consistently 10pts lower
@HillaryClinton I assumed that if Conservatives have more seats than liberals, but still a minority, it would resolve to Conservative minority.
Is that what you are confused about or something else?
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