Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?
➕
Plus
645
Ṁ1m
Apr 30
70%
Mark Carney (or other Liberal leader)
30%
Pierre Poilievre
0.1%
Other
0%
Justin Trudeau
0%
Jagmeet Singh
0%
Yves-François Blanchet

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

LOESS curve of opinion polls of voters for the 2025 Canadian federal election campaign:

Dark mode for viewing pleasure:

Up-to-date as of April 2, 2025. 30-poll smoothing factor. Square root applied to sample sizes when weighting. Highlight ribbon is of 95% confidence interval of local regression standard error (not polling margin of error).

The only plausible outcome

SOON. Can't wait for a second helping of @Joshua 's librul tears

@dlin007 We'll both have egg on our faces when it turns out polls are so unreal that the Bloc wins a majority.

@Balasar based and wolf pilled

@Balasar inside you are 2 wolves, inside me are 3

@Balasar This should be meme of the month in

@ScipioFabius add me, I know not what this #memefold is

@Balasar It’s a channel on discord, but you might want to wait till next month to have a better chance to win

@bagelfan We'll try next month. for the wolves wait idly by, for the inevitable to arise.

@Balasar inside of Pierre there are 1.5 wolves, one trying to carry his son, the other trying to carry a pizza

@bagelfan its been added, but I fear it doesn't make any sense to people not in this channel

bought Ṁ5,000 NO
Comment hidden
Comment hidden
Comment hidden
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules