Will there be a famous incident where someone slips and falls on a banana peel between now and October 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ1172025
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For example, if it happened to a famous person, or if it was a big news story for some other reason.
If it happens to a famous person but it's only lightly reported on for one reason or another... I guess I would still resolve YES.
It has to be real. But if someone does it in a movie but they end up actually hurt then I guess that counts as a real accident.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out Bananas before the year 2030?
3% chance
Will there be a new craze or major news item in 2024 centered on an exotic fruit?
27% chance
Will a major airliner accident happen in the US, physically injuring more than 25 people within 2024?
6% chance
Will the MIT banana lounge be confirmed to give one student a case of diabetes by 2030
33% chance
Will there be a dam collapse in the US before the end of 2025 with a fatality rate of 10 or more?
14% chance