In which year will an AI-generated movie become the first major box office success?
3
Ṁ118
2051

Invalid contract

Background

Recent advances in artificial intelligence have opened the door to AI-driven content creation. This includes generating a film’s screenplay, dialogue, direction, and even the video imagery itself (e.g., through text-to-video or other AI-driven synthesis). This question explores when AI will first independently produce a commercially successful feature-length movie with limited human intervention in the final production.

Resolution Criteria

  1. AI Authorship & Creation

    • At least 99% of the script, dialogue, and core creative content (narrative choices, character arcs, scene construction) must be generated by AI.

    • At least 95% of the final video imagery (i.e., the on-screen footage) must be AI-generated. Minor human edits or compositing are allowed, but the overwhelming majority of the visuals must originate from AI processes (e.g., text-to-video models or AI-driven rendering).

    • Publicly available documentation (e.g., reputable media coverage, studio statements) must verify the AI’s role in both scriptwriting and final visual creation.

  2. Minimum Runtime

    • The finished film must have a runtime of at least 60 minutes.

  3. Box Office Threshold

    • If theatrically released, the movie must earn at least $100 million in worldwide box office receipts within its first 12 months of release, confirmed by publicly available sources (e.g., Box Office Mojo, studio financial reports).

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules