OpenAI releases GPT-7 when?
OpenAI releases GPT-7 when?
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@TheWabiSabi unresolved. @Testuser any context for this? if you want to run test markets, you can unlist the market and make it clear in the title (& then do resolve it N/A instead)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
By when will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?
When will OpenAI release GPT-5?
-
Will OpenAI Publicly Release GPT-5 on or before 1st Jan 2026?
94% chance
OpenAI's next major AI model will be more open than GPT-4 by June 30, 2025
When will GPT-7 be released?
Will OpenAI release a model referred to as "GPT-6" before June 1st, 2026?
18% chance