2024-25 NFL Season - Week 3
*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Favorite based on DraftKings closing line
Any 7+ point Underdog wins
Based on closing DraftKings lines
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season
Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)
Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)
Fake Punt Attempt
If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout
Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases
No Injury
If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)
Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs
Add your own props related to Week Two (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Two finishes, but not later than that.
Game Slate:
Thursday, September 12th
New England @ NYJ 8:15 PM EST
Sunday, September 15th
NYG @ Cleveland 1:00 PM EST
Philadelphia @ New Orleans 1:00 PM EST
Houston @ Minnesota 1:00 PM EST
Denver @ Tampa Bay 1:00 PM EST
Green Bay @ Tennessee 1:00 PM EST
Chicago @ Indianapolis 1:00 PM EST
LAC @ Pittsburgh 1:00 PM EST
Miami @ Seattle 4:05 PM EST
Carolina @ Las Vegas 4:05 PM EST
San Francisco @ LAR 4:25 PM EST
Detroit @ Arizona 4:25 PM EST
Baltimore @ Dallas 4:25 PM EST
Kansas City @ Atlanta 8:20 PM EST
Monday, September 16th
Jacksonville @ Buffalo 7:30 PM EST
Washington @ Cincinnati 8:15 PM EST
Byes: None
Other NFL Week 3 Markets:
/prezlus/nfl-week-3-spread-betting-nfl-20242
(Week 3) NFL 2024 Mega-Market: All Games / TV Guide
/ovals/which-nfl-football-game-will-have-t-zn2qvbdy5o
/travis/-nfl-injury-report-week-3
Other Week Props:
/StopPunting/nfl-week-one-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-two-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-three-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-four-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-five-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-six-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-seven-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-eight-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-nine-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-ten-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-eleven-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-twelve-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-thirteen-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-fourteen-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-fifteen-prop-bets
/StopPunting/nfl-week-sixteen-prop-bets
1,000
3.00I'm seeing a 34% rate when sum producting the last 1 here:
https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/kickoff-touchback-pct
https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/kickoffs-per-game
Gonna leave it unresolved for a while in case I'm wrong
@StopPunting Check the 49Red rams game. Pretty clearly announced as fake punt. Punter can be seen here. First part clipped because it was not shown on tv. https://x.com/nflrt/status/1837966418878374343?s=61
@pluffASMR can you show me another play where a runner has flipped like that to "gain" yardage/avoid the tackle? Like for a first down or something
when Jerome Simpson flipped over the defender into the end zone
when Amon ra got flipped over defender into the end zone
I think the question was referring to a “celebration” (showboat) flip into the endzone like JK Dobbins, as he was doing it to “celebrate” and the others were avoiding defenders/ hurdling
IMO the Amon-Ra flip was not a celebration, and the Kyren Williams one was pretty close to Jerome Simpson one where there is a chance there is some utility but was likely just most celebratory, so I resolved 95% (where it was) In the future I would use less subjective criteria like "forward somersaults" or something (I was looking for something like Dobbins or Cook from last week)