2024-25 NFL Season - Week One

Week 15!

@StopPunting 🫡 great market

Where do AFC/NFC players of the week get posted, NFL’s Twitter? My guesses are Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield

posted to twitter now

Thanks everybody for trading in this market and happy start to the NFL season (unless you are a Panthers/Giants fan)! The Prop market for next week is already up, and is Basic instead of Plus, so it is much more affordable (100M instead of 1000M) to add your own answers. Let me know also if you have any suggestions for next week (about the market or any individual answers)!

@mods can you N/A

"At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose" and "Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game"

My criteria for the former didn't specific a sportsbook and the later wasn't well defined enough

@StopPunting tbf I think getting “benched” has a pretty common sense definition but I can understand why people would be mad

@TommyEagle I agree. I think most people were betting based on the spirit (that it was more likely Rodgers was out since the game was out of hand to avoid injury) but it is much more borderline than an example like Carr yesterday. As someone who also tries to live bet sudden prop changes, I know it would also really suck to lose a ton of mana live betting an arguably correct answer that wasn't clarified well.

@StopPunting fwiw at least 500 tweets about Rodgers getting benched in the last 30 minutes, so not sure this common sense definition you guys share is so common

@PatrickMcCann Twitter hivemind is always the voice of reason I turn to for accuracy.

@Predictor I'm not debating the outcome here, I just don't like the lack of civility saying I lack common sense

@PatrickMcCann For sure.

SCORIGAMIIIIIIII!!!!

Earlier in the game, the chance of scorigami was <1%, so I was surprised to find it up to around 4% at 26-13. It took me a while to realize that the algorithm must have seen 32-19 as a possibility, and that's exactly what transpired! Somehow.

@Calibrate I’m dumb and tried to jump on the vol last minute lol. two seconds to actually check the site would have been good

@StopPunting resolves yes, rodgers

FWIW not considering Tyrod for Rodgers a benching because it was a blowout injury avoider (will clarify for next week's market)

@StopPunting i am starting to hate this site, are you serious? You just made up a new rule

Sorry :/. It was clarified earlier in the comments below before the game. I do agree it was subjective. I might also get this one N/A and have at least more clear (if still subjective) ruling next week.

@StopPunting Should be YES or N/A come on

@StopPunting Hey quick question, what odds source will you be using to resolve this? According to ESPN the Patriots (+7.5), Steelers (+4.5), Vikings (+2.5), and Cowboys (+2) were all underdogs and won.

@ReeMARKable I see https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401671712/vikings-giants showing the Vikings as 1-point favorites:

@DanielTilkin

I took this yesterday after the game.

I'm seeing mostly Vikings as favorites, but some Giants as favorites at closing.

Ideally I'd go by closing line, can anybody confirm the BetRivers closing line here?

https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/matchups/giants-vs-vikings/

If so, I would likely resolve at 50% or as N/A if the Jets lose (let me know what others think makes sense)

In the future I'll probably clarify a sportsbook to make it less ambiguous

@StopPunting Here's another source with MIN +2.5: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nfl-football/?week=Week1

I checked at 12:40 and everything was either MIN -1 or MIN -1.5. You should just decide what to do, because we're all hopelessly biased.

@ReeMARKable Vikings favorites in five out.of six here

https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/matchups/giants-vs-vikings/

@travis that source shows Vikings favorites in 3 out of six books, I would read that source as giants not the favorite

@StopPunting Vikings are the unambiguous favorite if Vegas insider is your source, it lists the "consensus" there as -1 Vikings

The fact that this wasn't resolved at the start of the Monday game seems to imply to bettors this game would impact the outcome. If you had the Giant as favorites this shouldn't have been open

@PatrickMcCann Yeah I had Giants as favorites. To be fair since I didn't declare a book, I will probably try to get it N/A'd. I wanted to wait for the Jets to lose (which they now are confirmed to do ha), to not influence the market (would have been an effective freeroll)

@StopPunting does this stuff happen every week :) I'm new here

@PatrickMcCann Just a rusty first week lol. Part of the downside to the fun of being able to bet on anything is that there are going to be a bunch of ambiguous cases that you don't see when you make the answers.