Will Mohammed al-Bashir remain Prime Minister of Syria until March 1, 2025?
Plus
20
Ṁ1252Mar 2
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if Mohammed al-Bashir remains Prime Minister until his scheduled conclusion on March 1, 2025, with his government retaining full, uncontested control over Damascus at that time.
This market resolves NO if
Mohammed al-Bashir ceases to be the Prime Minister for any reason (e.g., resignation, removal, etc.)
The transitional government collapses
Control over Damascus is contested at the time of resolution as reported by credible news sources.
Examples of credible news sources include, but are not limited to:
Uncontested control = no active fighting, rebel occupation, or divided governance in Damascus.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Syria hold legitimate elections before the end of 2025?
36% chance
In which country will Assad be on Jan 1, 2025?
Will Mahmoud Abbas remain the President of Palestine until the end of 2024?
93% chance
Syrian election by April 2025?
28% chance
Will Syria keep the presidential system?
76% chance
Will the Syrian civil war end before 2025?
12% chance
Will Najib Mikati leave or be removed as Prime Minister of Lebanon by 2025?
62% chance
Will Bashar al-Assad survive 2025?
93% chance
Will Syria have a new president within a week?
6% chance
Will Syria hold legitimate elections before the end of 2026?
38% chance