Will Trump "buy" Greenland multi-market? π€ππ§
Will Trump "buy" Greenland multi-market? π€ππ§
Premium
76
αΉ50k2026
38%
Credible poll in USA with 1,000+ citizens in favor of "buying" Greenland in 2025?
26%
Trump makes an "offer" to Denmark for Greenland in 2025? With specific terms.
23%
Significant protests in Greenland (more than just a few people) in regard to US acquisition -- either for or against. In 2025.
16%
Will Polymarket odds reach 25% that Trump buys Greenland in 2025?
16%
Trump visits Denmark in 2025?
15%
Trump visits Greenland in 2025?
14%
Official negotiations in 2025 to "buy" Greenland?
9%
Will Polymarket odds reach 50% that Trump buys Greenland in 2025?
8%
Will Polymarket odds reach 69% that Trump buys Greenland in 2025?
6%
Any former president (besides Trump) quoted in favor of acquiring Greenland (in 2025)
4%
Nate Silver launches "Greenland" model in 2025?
4%
Agreement reached in 2025 to "buy" Greenland?
4%
Credible poll from Greenland with 1,000+ citizens in favor of joining US? [over 1,000 polled, majority supports] in 2025
We keep reading reports that they are "serious" about this, and that at least some in Greenland support it.
https://deepnewz.com/search?q=Greenland
Resolution will be
from preponderance of evidence in media or official sources
closely following Polymarket rules when it's appropriate
Let's have fun and make some Greenland predictions!
As usual
I will be betting this market
If you want to argue about nonsense just don't bet this market, please
If you are uncomfortable with not 100% clear resolution for every question, also don't bet this market
Update 2025-13-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Credible poll must include over 1,000 Greenland citizens.
Majority supports joining the US.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@MaybeNotDepends the question is will he make a model about Greenland? Or at least write about it [if he writes but doesn't make a model, it's a NO]
answered2mo
Credible poll in USA with 1,000+ citizens in favor of "buying" Greenland in 2025?
answered2mo
Credible poll from Greenland with 1,000+ citizens in favor of joining US? [over 1,000 polled, majority supports] in 2025
bought αΉ150 Trump makes an "offe... NO2mo
Polymarket odds sit at 13%
https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-in-2025
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightβs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 β $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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