Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against IM by the end of 2024? | Manifold

Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against IM by the end of 2024?

Plus

16

Ṁ2561

resolved Dec 31

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Using internet search, code execution, external programs, chess engines, etc. is not allowed.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

is chain-of-thought allowed?

predictedNO

@harfe like telling the model to do MCTS from the current position manually.

@harfe Yes, the model can be used in any way, just no external information. For example, calling the model 1000 times and then using the model itself to aggregate its own prediction is also allowed.

Related questions

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster at chess by EOY 2035?

Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?

Will OpenAI models achieve ≥90% on SimpleBench by the end of 2025?

Will an AI model achieve superhuman ELO on Codeforces by the 31 December 2025?

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Will end-to-end neural networks such as LLMs can beat the best human player in chess by 2028?

Will a single model achieve superhuman performance on all OpenAI gym environments by 2025?

Related questions

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Will OpenAI models achieve ≥90% on SimpleBench by the end of 2025?

Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Will an AI model achieve superhuman ELO on Codeforces by the 31 December 2025?

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster at chess by EOY 2035?

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?

Will end-to-end neural networks such as LLMs can beat the best human player in chess by 2028?

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?

Will a single model achieve superhuman performance on all OpenAI gym environments by 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules