Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
Basic
8
Ṁ2382028
14%
Elizabeth Warren
14%
Cory Booker
14%
Raphael Warnock
14%
Josh Shapiro
12%
Gavin Newsom
10%
Gretchen Whitmer
8%
Pete Buttigieg
7%
Kamala Harris
6%
Andy Beshear
5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve based on who becomes the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2028 presidential election, as determined by:
Securing enough delegates to win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, OR
Being declared the presumptive nominee after all other candidates have dropped out or suspended their campaigns
The market will resolve N/A if:
The Democratic Party dissolves or ceases to exist before 2028
The 2028 presidential election is cancelled or does not take place
No candidate formally accepts the Democratic nomination
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
bought Ṁ5 Gavin Newsom NO
Only one option can resolve yes, right? Asking since it's an unlinked market
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
2028 Democratic nominee?
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028
2028 Democratic Nominee
Who will be running in the Democratic Primary for the 2028 presidential election?
If nominated, which Democratic candidate will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?