Russia detonates nuclear weapon for any purpose before EOY 2024? | Manifold

Russia detonates nuclear weapon for any purpose before EOY 2024?

Plus

79

Ṁ8905

Dec 31

8%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

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#🇷🇺 Russia

#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war

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https://manifold.markets/KongoLandwalker/will-russia-conduct-a-nuclear-weapo-le769kgyyp?r=S29uZ29MYW5kd2Fsa2Vy the other market, which has a narrower criteria, has twice bigger probability.

Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test between 07.08.2024 and 07.09.2024?

15% chance. Dates are given in DD. MM. YYYY. Both edge dates of the interval are included. Test counts even if it was a failure and no explosion happened.

sold Ṁ49 NO

Any purpose including tests?

@dezzao Yes, including tests.

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