Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before the end of 2024?
Plus
47
Ṁ4811Dec 31
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Whether a nuclear weapon (tests are included) is detonated after the start of 2024 and before the end of 2024
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Identical and slightly older market here for those who may be interested:
https://manifold.markets/Pykess/will-a-nuclear-warhead-be-detonated?r=UHlrZXNz
Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated by end of 2024? (tests included)
7% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
7% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated during 2024?
7% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
7% chance
Will a nuclear warhead be detonated in 2024?
7% chance
Will multiple nuclear weapons be detonated during 2024?
4% chance
Will any country that has not previously detonated a nuclear weapon detonate one by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will North Korea detonate a nuclear weapon in 2024?
6% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
24% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat in 2024?
2% chance