Will over 1000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026? | Manifold

Will over 1000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?

9

Ṁ1465

2026

63%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Only direct, violent deaths count, so no starvation or death from a lack of medical care (unless the ailment in question was the result of Israeli violence)

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#🇮🇱 Israel

#🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict

#Arab-Israeli Conflict

#🇵🇸 Palestine

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Something about even virtual fake profits from betting on mass murder feels incredibly wrong to me right now, so I'm not going to participate in this market.
With that said, I would expect a YES for this.
Do not expect the IDF's bloodthirsty slaughter of innocent civilians to end anytime soon.

bought Ṁ2 YES at 63%

@Athena I disagree, not on whether they will kill more civilians, but on whether a Manifold market about it is wrong. I think that things like this ground the reality of the situation.

@Balasar at the end of the day, you are profiting (now fake money, thankfully) off of people being killed by betting YES here. That inherently rubs me the wrong way.

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