Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Plus
8
Ṁ9502027
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the IDF fully withdraw all troops from Gaza at any point between now and the end of 2026? If the IDF withdraws and then re-enters, this will still resolve Yes. If any IDF presence remains, it will not be considered a full withdrawal.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel occupy Gaza on a semi-permanent or permanent basis before 2025?
70% chance
Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
65% chance
Will there still be Israeli hostages in Gaza, by the end of 2025
60% chance
Will Gaza be de facto controlled by Israel at the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will Israel launch a siege of Northern Gaza by the end of 2024?
85% chance
Will there be a ceasefire in Gaza by Eoy 2024?
3% chance
Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will the IDF continue occupying Gaza and killing civilians through the end of 2024?
89% chance
Will the IDF relinquish control of the Philadelphi corridor before the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will Israel annex a part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
33% chance