do not bet on it
@ian Unfairly resolved. If the questions says May 4th, you would expect people to bet based on events based until the date. Nothing really happened until AFTER may 4th.
@ian based on the comment exchange below, it seems this was intended as a market to test market mechanics (e.g. whether buying shares in both directions causes automatic share selling) rather than for serious prediction, perhaps as a staff member you could fill us in?
@TheAllMemeingEye it does cause automatic share selling via redeeming 1 yes share and 1 no share for 1 mana
@ian WAIT! This is super useful if I understand it correctly.
I have been dying for a sell limit order (is that what it's called? I want to sell down to x%)
Can I just set a limit order on NO x%?
@FergusArgyll yes, you need the balance for it but it will auto redeem opposite shares after you’ve bought the missing share
Can I suggest some edits to your market?
Title: India starts war with Pakistan by EOY 2025?
Description:
Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before Jan 1, 2026, there is credible evidence from reputable news sources that India has initiated military action against Pakistan. "Military action" is defined as any offensive operation involving the Indian Armed Forces crossing into Pakistani territory or engaging Pakistani forces, excluding routine border skirmishes or defensive actions. If no such evidence is available by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
@TheAllMemeingEye i am getting confused about if i do second bet is my first bet shares is autosell ! help me
@Testuser Good question, my intuitive expectation is that an equivalent amount of shares does automatically sell, but it might make sense to ask a Manifold staff member who is open to user enquires e.g. Genzy