India starts war with Pakistan? (maybe resolves may 4th?)
48
Ṁ2280
resolved May 11
Resolved
N/A

do not bet on it

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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Resolving this N/A as it’s unclear what the creator meant to do with this market

@HloCm please resolve

@ian Unfairly resolved. If the questions says May 4th, you would expect people to bet based on events based until the date. Nothing really happened until AFTER may 4th.

I edited your title to include your close date, which is set to may 4th

@ian based on the comment exchange below, it seems this was intended as a market to test market mechanics (e.g. whether buying shares in both directions causes automatic share selling) rather than for serious prediction, perhaps as a staff member you could fill us in?

@TheAllMemeingEye it does cause automatic share selling via redeeming 1 yes share and 1 no share for 1 mana

@ian WAIT! This is super useful if I understand it correctly.

I have been dying for a sell limit order (is that what it's called? I want to sell down to x%)
Can I just set a limit order on NO x%?

@FergusArgyll yes, you need the balance for it but it will auto redeem opposite shares after you’ve bought the missing share

Do you mean to resolve this market on May 4th?

@ian please resolve. thanks

Can I suggest some edits to your market?
Title: India starts war with Pakistan by EOY 2025?
Description:
Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before Jan 1, 2026, there is credible evidence from reputable news sources that India has initiated military action against Pakistan. "Military action" is defined as any offensive operation involving the Indian Armed Forces crossing into Pakistani territory or engaging Pakistani forces, excluding routine border skirmishes or defensive actions. If no such evidence is available by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

bought Ṁ10 NO

do not bet on it

Wait, why not?

@TheAllMemeingEye bro i am trying to figure it out how its woks

@Testuser Cool, let me know if there's an aspect you're struggling to understand

@TheAllMemeingEye i am getting confused about if i do second bet is my first bet shares is autosell ! help me

sold Ṁ10 NO

@Testuser Good question, my intuitive expectation is that an equivalent amount of shares does automatically sell, but it might make sense to ask a Manifold staff member who is open to user enquires e.g. Genzy

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