When I finish reading the fifth Stormlight novel, I will resolve this to the identity of Odium's Champion. Last I heard, the plan was for it to be published in December of 2024, and I've consistently read these within a month of publication in the past, so this market will probably resolve in late December 2024 or early January 2025. Proposed answers should consist of the name of a character, though I may allow exceptions such as "No one" if it seems appropriate.
1,000
3.00I am intentionally holding off on resolving this for now, since
1) I need to read the book before I can resolve the market, which might take me another week or so
2) I want to give other participants a chance to read the book without seeing the answer here beforehand
Expect it to be resolved around the end of the year, unless folks request otherwise.
It will initially look like it's Gavinor, but at the last moment Adolin will show up, having learned the reason for Recreance, and he will be Odium's Champion. Dalinar will defeat him, but will not be able to bring himself to kill his own son, thereby breaking the contract and releasing Odium who will drop an asteroid on Roshar as a departing middle finger(leaving to somewhere else in Cosmere), which will cause such atmospheric disturbances that highstorm will cease to occur, and stormlight will be very hard to obtain.
@Forrest can you remake this using the current multiple choice market format? These old parimutual markets where you can't short options are way worse
@Joshua Last time I thought about it I had the idea that they were going to convert these, but I guess that's not actually likely to be any time soon, so here: https://manifold.markets/Forrest/stormlight-archive-who-will-be-bqvh
@JiSK During the agreed-upon contest of champions, if it occurs during the book.
Otherwise, the last character Odium names as his champion during the book.