Will US tariffs go up in 2025 iff Trump wins? (Up if Trump wins, or down if not.)
Plus
21
Ṁ34262026
92%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve exactly according to these two underlying markets:
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election
/EvanDaniel/will-us-tariffs-be-higher-in-2025-t
This will resolve Yes if Trump wins and tariffs go up, or if Trump loses and they don't.
This will resolve No if Trump loses and tariffs go up, or if he wins and they don't.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 2.5%)?
45% chance
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
If Trump wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern Border)
84% chance
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
92% chance
If Trump wins, what will US bond yields be at the end of 2025?
32% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will he enact a 10% tariff on most imported goods?
19% chance
If Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?
37% chance
Will Trump impose any tariffs at or above 25% on imports from Mexico before the end of 2025?
39% chance
Will a PS5 cost >%10 more to US consumers as a result of tariffs before the 2026 US midterms?
30% chance
If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will the US see 3% or higher GDP growth in 2025?
58% chance