When will the first humans set foot on Mars? | Manifold

When will the first humans set foot on Mars?

Plus

15

Ṁ693

2074

2,043

expected

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves to whatever year in which a human being sets foot on the surface of the planet Mars and remains alive for at least one minute after arriving. Orbiting doesn't count, nor does landing in a spaceship and taking off again without leaving the spacecraft.

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#Space exploration

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see: /strutheo/in-what-year-will-a-human-walk-on-m

@strutheo Oh, I hadn't seen that. I'll keep this one bc i like the year-long buckets, but nice market :p

What does lower or higher mean in this case - lower is closer year than 2042?

bought Ṁ0 YES

@HenriLaupmaa I recommend pressing "about right" > "advanced" to see the full distribution, and picking the range you want to bet on

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