In what year will the Chinese nuclear arsenal reach parity with the US and Russians?
Basic
7
Ṁ3602040
0.8%
2024
4%
2025
5%
2026
5%
2027
7%
2028
10%
2029
22%
2030
46%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Conditional on Russia using nuclear weapons by 2025, will China officially condemn Russia, announce the end of the partnership, and - in the perception of NATO consensus - act accordingly?
33% chance
Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?
61% chance
Will the Chinese define “minimum deterrent posture” for its nuclear forces by the end of 2024?
17% chance
Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
23% chance
Will the People’s Republic of China switch to a ‘launch on warning’ nuclear posture by 2028?
39% chance
Will China have a nuclear supertanker by 2027?
27% chance
Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
69% chance
Will a new nation possess nuclear weapons by 2025?
7% chance
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2024?
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2025?