Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
➕
Plus
34
Ṁ1348
2026
23%
chance

The Chinese have said they will growth their strategic and tactical weapons stockpiles rapidly over the coming decade. This market resolves YES for the first test during the timeframe between the open and close dates conducted by the Chinese government.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
MercurialGuesserboughtṀ50NO

Growth of stockpiles doesn’t require testing of actual bombs. Nuclear physics is an old science. Nowadays the only thing worth testing is delivery.

Only reason for a test would be as intimidation.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules