Will global carbon emissions measurably decrease through the use of AI-driven technologies by the end of 2024?
Will global carbon emissions measurably decrease through the use of AI-driven technologies by the end of 2024?
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Typically a question like this would have some specifics about how you will resolve it. It's even OK if you want to resolve it based on what you feel like is probably true based on your intuition or astrology or what your dad says, so long as you state that up front so people who want a more impartial resolution can decide this isn't the market for them. But if I was making a market like this, I would link to a specific source for how you're going to determine what carbon emissions were, and get specific about what "AI driven technologies" you're thinking of, and how you will determine what their carbon emissions effect was.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
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