Of the three currently released papers authored by Sukbae Lee and Ji-hoon Kim related to LK-99, all three have a different third author.
The papers in question are:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12008
https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12037
http://journal.kci.go.kr/jkcgct/archive/articleView?artiId=ART002955269
Since a Nobel prize can only be award to three people, it is unclear which, if any, of the third authors are likely to recieve a Nobel if LK-99 reproduces.
If a Nobel prize is awarded to Sukbae Lee or Jihoon Kim for work directly related to LK-99, this market resolves in favor of any person other than those two who also simultaneously recieves that prize.
If a clear consensus emerges that LK-99 is uninteresting, or that all three papers are fraudulent, or if all three papers are withdrawn, or that a Nobel prize related to LK-99 is not forthcoming for any other reason, I will resolve this market N/A
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
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How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00