Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?
15
Ṁ10882100
66%
Alexei Kitaev
14%
Donald Trump
13%
Daniel Hillis
13%
Jamie Joyce
10%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10%
Daniel Sheehan
8%
Robin Hanson
7%
Balaji Srinivasan
6%
Elon Musk
6%
4%
Robert Kennedy Jr.
Will resolve 'yes' when individuals win Nobel Prize.
Will resolve 'no' when they die.
Posthumously winning does not count for this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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