
Will there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026?
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36%
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Resolves according to Wikipedia article.
Update 2025-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator clarified that:
A mention of the eruption in the volcano's own Wikipedia article is sufficient.
The Wikipedia page "List of volcanic eruptions in the 21st century" is also a key source, as such eruptions are typically listed there.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@JussiVilleHeiskanen It would suffice but such eruptions are anyways listed in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_volcanic_eruptions_in_the_21st_century.
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