Towards the end of 2027, I will do a poll on Manifold asking "Do you mainly use software or AI software to do your tax return?"
Using Turbo tax is an example of mainly using software to do tax return
If a personal accountant is involved, it doesn't count as "mainly using software" to file tax return
As AI improves, I anticipate that Turbo tax and other tax return software would adapt AI for tax return as well.
Resolves Yes if over 70% of the respondent answered Yes.
1,000
3.00Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised. Who actually enjoys dealing with tax forms manually? AI-driven tax tools already simplify the process, catching deductions we might miss. But let’s be real, not all software is perfect. If you’ve ever had issues, https://turbotax.pissedconsumer.com/customer-service.html can be helpful for support. I think AI will dominate tax prep, but there’ll always be some who prefer human experts.
I'm worried this market is flawed, as it incentivizes voting dishonestly in the poll to secure one's own resolution outcome.
@GazDownright Most markets that resolves base on poll results on Manifold suffers from the same problem. Alternatively I could resolve base on the statistics on some website, but that's another market
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00