Will human civilization build a Dyson Sphere before 2100?
➕
Plus
9
Ṁ858
2099
12%
chance

Resolution Criteria:

  1. Energy Capture threshold:

    • The structure must capture and utilize at least 1% of the Sun's total energy output.

    • Official measurements from at least 3 independent space agencies confirm the energy capture threshold has been reached.

  2. Specifications:

    • The structure(s) can be of any design: Dyson Sphere, Dyson Swarm, etc

  3. Human Civilization Origination:

    • The structure has to be built by humans or aligned artificial intelligence or rogue artificial intelligence originating from earth; or a cooperation between humans and AI. Discovery of Dyson sphere built by Extraterrestrial aliens does not count.

  4. The question resolves NEGATIVE if:

    • January 1, 2100 passes without reaching the 1% threshold

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So, if it is built by a rouge ASI that terminated all biological life, does it count? Resolution criteria suggest yes, but that's not what I'd expect given the market title.

@Entropy The resolution criteria will be used to resolve the question. Question titles are optimized for getting attention and not all details can be listed in the question title. If a rogue ASI builds a dyson sphere the answer will resolve to YES.

Calibration ain't calibrating

@StepanBakhmarin hopefully as more people answer the calibration will occur that usually happens after 15 - 20 people answer.

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