Will a quantum computer factor a 6-bit number before 2026?
Plus
22
Ṁ15062026
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background: A 2019 paper showed the IBM Q System One was able to factor 15 and 21, but unable to factor 35 due to accumulating errors. Will a quantum computer factor a number greater than 31 by 2026?
Must use a non-classical algorithm like Quantum Fourier Transform/Shor's Algorithm to count, and without pre-compilation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will Quantum computing become viable?
2030
Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
35% chance
Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2040?
59% chance
Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2050?
69% chance
Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?
65% chance
Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2035?
42% chance
Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2045?
65% chance
Will there be a quantum computer with 100,000 functioning qbits before 2035?
69% chance
Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2030?
24% chance
Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?
34% chance