Will there be any mission that makes it to Mars during the 2026-27 Hohmann transfer window?
Basic
2
Ṁ202027
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mars must be the final destination. It cannot be a flyby going to another planet or body. To resolve to YES, the mission must make it to Mars, not necessarily successfully land.
There is a transfer window coming up in Q3 2024 with a single mission scheduled: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_missions_to_Mars
This market asks if the ~November 2026 Hohmann transfer window will have any successful missions. As of 2024, there are several scheduled, but several were delayed originally set to go in 2024. See http://www.clowder.net/hop/railroad/EMa.htm for more windows.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?
36% chance
How many spacecraft will successfully make it to Mars during the 2028-29 Hohmann Transfer window?
Will at least one crewed Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2028/2029 launch window?
22% chance
Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?
30% chance
Will there be a government-backed manned mission to Mars that returns to Earth before the end of 2040?
41% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
34% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?
65% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2045?
70% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?
40% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2050?
72% chance