Which US Presidents will live to see AGI?
Plus
40
Ṁ53892051
77%
Barack Obama
53%
Donald Trump
45%
George W. Bush
43%
Bill Clinton
16%
Joe Biden
1.2%
Jimmy Carter
All listed who are alive when an artificial general intelligence (AGI) is created will resolve YES. Any who die before this time will resolve NO.
Whether AGI has been reached will depend on this market. So, there must be proof of an AI passing the Turing test for any living president in this market to resolve YES.
If any new president is elected before AGI, their name will be added to this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2028?
33% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
61% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?
37% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
62% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
27% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
65% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2028?
22% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
61% chance
Will Donald Trump be the US president when we get AGI?
28% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
44% chance