How many independent time zones will the Moon have in 2030?
How many independent time zones will the Moon have in 2030?
➕
Plus
10
Ṁ195
2031
72%
0 Time Zones on the Moon in 2030
21%
1 Time Zone on the Moon in 2030
7%
2+ Time Zones on the Moon in 2030

Currently, Moon missions adopt the time zone of the country responsible for the mission, for ease of communication back to Earth.* As each country has a time zone referenced to UTC, so time is measured on the Moon relative to UTC as well.

As the Moon gets busier, communication between points on the Moon presumably becomes more common. It may be more convenient to have an independent standard based solely on the Moon, which would not reference Earth time. ESA, in particular, has expressed interest in this:

https://www.esa.int/Applications/Navigation/Telling_time_on_the_Moon

Would a new standard apply a single standard time to the entire Moon? Or would the Moon be divided into time zones like the Earth?

Market Resolution:

Market resolves according to an agreement between a preponderance of relevant national international agencies by 2030.

0: No independent time zone agreed. Current status quo of referencing UTC continues.

1: One independent standard time for the whole Moon.

2+: Moon is subdivided into 2 or more independent time zones.


*Or so it is reported. I'm not an expert, and I can't find details easily.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules