5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2024 predict correctly? | Manifold

5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2024 predict correctly?

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Jan 1

17%

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#Manifold Users

#500 Poll Experiment

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reposted

poll at 55% currently

39% done

31%

reposted

25%

22%

reposted

poll just hit 20%

poll is 14% complete now

reposted

the poll is 9.2% complete with >11 months to go, yet 2/3 of people think it will not make it to 500

Context:
/strutheo/do-you-think-this-poll-will-reach-5

You are too clever

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