Will Joe Biden live through the next president's term end date?
Basic
19
Ṁ7642029
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
will Biden last through the next term, whether or not he is elected?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Actuarial tables say the probability is <10/year until around the end of the term (when it's still just about 10%/year). https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
Related questions
Related questions
Will Biden finish his term?
97% chance
Will Joe Biden finish his term?
96% chance
Will Joe Biden live till the end of 2028?
68% chance
Will a living US President (past or current) pass away before the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?
69% chance
Will Joe Biden still be alive at the end of 2024?
97% chance
Will Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
70% chance
Will Joe Biden be alive in November of 2028?
71% chance
If Joe Biden is elected President in 2024, will he serve his full term?
23% chance
Will Joe Biden live through the end of his presidential term?
95% chance