Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?
Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?
Premium
150
Ṁ11k2031
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
reposted
bought Ṁ10 NO1y
What happens if Luffy finds the One Piece while Biden is alive but Biden doesn't see it?
In August 2019 the author said that according to his predictions, the manga will end between 2024 and 2025.
but i could see it going longer at this point
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Moo Deng live to see Luffy find the One Piece?
75% chance
Will Luffy find the One Piece in 2025?
5% chance
Will Dick Cheney live long enough to see Monkey D. Luffy find the One Piece?
39% chance
Will Luffy find the One Piece by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Noam Chomsky live long enough to see Luffy find the One Piece?
11% chance
Will Luffy die before the end of One Piece?
19% chance
Will Luffy find the One Piece in 2026?
9% chance
Will Luffy find the One Piece by the end of 2027?
16% chance
Will Luffy find the One Piece by the end of 2026?
17% chance
Will Destiny talk to Joe Rogan before Luffy finds the One Piece?
7% chance